COMINTL BANK (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.41

CIN0 Stock   1.23  0.03  2.38%   
COMINTL BANK's future price is the expected price of COMINTL BANK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COMINTL BANK ADR1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out COMINTL BANK Backtesting, COMINTL BANK Valuation, COMINTL BANK Correlation, COMINTL BANK Hype Analysis, COMINTL BANK Volatility, COMINTL BANK History as well as COMINTL BANK Performance.
  
Please specify COMINTL BANK's target price for which you would like COMINTL BANK odds to be computed.

COMINTL BANK Target Price Odds to finish over 6.41

The tendency of COMINTL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  6.41  or more in 90 days
 1.23 90 days 6.41 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COMINTL BANK to move over  6.41  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This COMINTL BANK ADR1 probability density function shows the probability of COMINTL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COMINTL BANK ADR1 price to stay between its current price of  1.23  and  6.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COMINTL BANK has a beta of 0.73 suggesting as returns on the market go up, COMINTL BANK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COMINTL BANK ADR1 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COMINTL BANK ADR1 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   COMINTL BANK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COMINTL BANK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMINTL BANK ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.232.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.242.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.162.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.231.271.32
Details

COMINTL BANK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COMINTL BANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COMINTL BANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COMINTL BANK ADR1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COMINTL BANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

COMINTL BANK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COMINTL BANK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COMINTL BANK ADR1 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COMINTL BANK ADR1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
COMINTL BANK ADR1 may become a speculative penny stock

COMINTL BANK Technical Analysis

COMINTL BANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COMINTL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COMINTL BANK ADR1. In general, you should focus on analyzing COMINTL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COMINTL BANK Predictive Forecast Models

COMINTL BANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many COMINTL BANK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COMINTL BANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COMINTL BANK ADR1

Checking the ongoing alerts about COMINTL BANK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COMINTL BANK ADR1 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COMINTL BANK ADR1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
COMINTL BANK ADR1 may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in COMINTL Stock

COMINTL BANK financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMINTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMINTL with respect to the benefits of owning COMINTL BANK security.