Cintas (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 211.80

CIT Stock  EUR 213.10  0.30  0.14%   
Cintas' future price is the expected price of Cintas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cintas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cintas Backtesting, Cintas Valuation, Cintas Correlation, Cintas Hype Analysis, Cintas Volatility, Cintas History as well as Cintas Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cintas Stock please use our How to Invest in Cintas guide.
  
Please specify Cintas' target price for which you would like Cintas odds to be computed.

Cintas Target Price Odds to finish below 211.80

The tendency of Cintas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 211.80  or more in 90 days
 213.10 90 days 211.80 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cintas to drop to € 211.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Cintas probability density function shows the probability of Cintas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cintas price to stay between € 211.80  and its current price of €213.1 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cintas has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cintas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cintas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cintas has an alpha of 0.2619, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cintas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cintas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cintas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
211.80213.10214.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
191.79240.77242.07
Details

Cintas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cintas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cintas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cintas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cintas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
10.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Cintas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cintas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cintas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cintas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cintas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cintas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cintas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.7 M

Cintas Technical Analysis

Cintas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cintas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cintas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cintas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cintas Predictive Forecast Models

Cintas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cintas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cintas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cintas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cintas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cintas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cintas Stock

When determining whether Cintas is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cintas' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cintas' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cintas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cintas Backtesting, Cintas Valuation, Cintas Correlation, Cintas Hype Analysis, Cintas Volatility, Cintas History as well as Cintas Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cintas Stock please use our How to Invest in Cintas guide.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cintas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cintas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cintas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.