Colombo Investment (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 116.68
| CITN0000 | LKR 113.25 4.00 3.66% |
Colombo |
Colombo Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 116.68
The tendency of Colombo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 116.68 or more in 90 days |
| 113.25 | 90 days | 116.68 | about 10.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colombo Investment to move over 116.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.41 (This Colombo Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of Colombo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colombo Investment Trust price to stay between its current price of 113.25 and 116.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Colombo Investment Trust has a beta of -0.4 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Colombo Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Colombo Investment Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Colombo Investment Trust has an alpha of 0.1164, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Colombo Investment Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Colombo Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colombo Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colombo Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colombo Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colombo Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colombo Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colombo Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Colombo Investment Technical Analysis
Colombo Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colombo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colombo Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colombo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colombo Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Colombo Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colombo Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colombo Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Colombo Investment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Colombo Investment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Colombo Investment options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Colombo Stock
Colombo Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Colombo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Colombo with respect to the benefits of owning Colombo Investment security.