Six Circles International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.06
| CIUEX Fund | USD 11.04 0.01 0.09% |
Six |
Six Circles Target Price Odds to finish below 10.06
The tendency of Six Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.06 or more in 90 days |
| 11.04 | 90 days | 10.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Six Circles to drop to $ 10.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Six Circles International probability density function shows the probability of Six Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Six Circles International price to stay between $ 10.06 and its current price of $11.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Six Circles International has a beta of -0.0713 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Six Circles are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Six Circles International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Six Circles International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Six Circles Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Six Circles
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Six Circles International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Six Circles' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Six Circles Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Six Circles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Six Circles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Six Circles International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Six Circles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Six Circles Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Six Circles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Six Circles International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Six Circles generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 90.9% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Six Circles Technical Analysis
Six Circles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Six Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Six Circles International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Six Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Six Circles Predictive Forecast Models
Six Circles' time-series forecasting models is one of many Six Circles' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Six Circles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Six Circles International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Six Circles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Six Circles International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Six Circles generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 90.9% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Six Mutual Fund
Six Circles financial ratios help investors to determine whether Six Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Six with respect to the benefits of owning Six Circles security.
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