Cidade Jardim (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 50.31
| CJCT11 Fund | BRL 52.00 1.00 1.96% |
Cidade |
Cidade Jardim Target Price Odds to finish over 50.31
The tendency of Cidade Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 50.31 in 90 days |
| 52.00 | 90 days | 50.31 | over 95.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cidade Jardim to stay above R$ 50.31 in 90 days from now is over 95.72 (This Cidade Jardim Continental probability density function shows the probability of Cidade Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cidade Jardim Continental price to stay between R$ 50.31 and its current price of R$52.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cidade Jardim Continental has a beta of -0.34 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cidade Jardim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cidade Jardim Continental is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cidade Jardim Continental has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cidade Jardim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cidade Jardim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cidade Jardim Continental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cidade Jardim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cidade Jardim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cidade Jardim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cidade Jardim Continental, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cidade Jardim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Cidade Jardim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cidade Jardim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cidade Jardim Continental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cidade Jardim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Cidade Jardim Technical Analysis
Cidade Jardim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cidade Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cidade Jardim Continental. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cidade Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cidade Jardim Predictive Forecast Models
Cidade Jardim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cidade Jardim's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cidade Jardim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cidade Jardim Continental
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cidade Jardim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cidade Jardim Continental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cidade Jardim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Cidade Fund
Cidade Jardim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cidade Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cidade with respect to the benefits of owning Cidade Jardim security.
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| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk |