Radio Fuels Energy Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0828

CKEFF Stock  USD 0.07  0.02  22.43%   
Radio Fuels' future price is the expected price of Radio Fuels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Radio Fuels Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Radio Fuels Backtesting, Radio Fuels Valuation, Radio Fuels Correlation, Radio Fuels Hype Analysis, Radio Fuels Volatility, Radio Fuels History as well as Radio Fuels Performance.
  
Please specify Radio Fuels' target price for which you would like Radio Fuels odds to be computed.

Radio Fuels Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0828

The tendency of Radio OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.08  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.08 
about 88.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Radio Fuels to move over $ 0.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.58 (This Radio Fuels Energy probability density function shows the probability of Radio OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Radio Fuels Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.07  and $ 0.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Radio Fuels will likely underperform. Additionally Radio Fuels Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Radio Fuels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Radio Fuels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radio Fuels Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.078.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.078.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.078.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.090.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Radio Fuels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Radio Fuels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Radio Fuels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Radio Fuels Energy.

Radio Fuels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Radio Fuels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Radio Fuels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Radio Fuels Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Radio Fuels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Radio Fuels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Radio Fuels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Radio Fuels Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radio Fuels Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radio Fuels Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Radio Fuels Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Radio Fuels Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Radio Fuels Energy has accumulated about 17.85 M in cash with (405.02 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Radio Fuels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Radio OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Radio Fuels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radio Fuels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.9 M

Radio Fuels Technical Analysis

Radio Fuels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Radio OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Radio Fuels Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Radio OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Radio Fuels Predictive Forecast Models

Radio Fuels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Radio Fuels' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Radio Fuels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Radio Fuels Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Radio Fuels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Radio Fuels Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radio Fuels Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radio Fuels Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Radio Fuels Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Radio Fuels Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Radio Fuels Energy has accumulated about 17.85 M in cash with (405.02 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Radio OTC Stock

Radio Fuels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Radio OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Radio with respect to the benefits of owning Radio Fuels security.