Citra Putra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 281.35
| CLAY Stock | IDR 266.00 24.00 9.92% |
Citra |
Citra Putra Target Price Odds to finish over 281.35
The tendency of Citra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 281.35 or more in 90 days |
| 266.00 | 90 days | 281.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citra Putra to move over 281.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Citra Putra Realty probability density function shows the probability of Citra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citra Putra Realty price to stay between its current price of 266.00 and 281.35 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Citra Putra Realty has a beta of -0.098 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Citra Putra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Citra Putra Realty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Citra Putra Realty has an alpha of 0.6587, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Citra Putra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Citra Putra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citra Putra Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Citra Putra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citra Putra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citra Putra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citra Putra Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citra Putra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 39.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Citra Putra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Citra Putra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Citra Putra Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Citra Putra Realty appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Citra Putra Realty has accumulated 312.98 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.09, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Citra Putra Realty has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Citra Putra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Citra Putra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Citra Putra Realty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Citra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Citra Putra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 19.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (74.8 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.79 B). | |
| Citra Putra Realty has accumulated about 1.49 B in cash with (8.99 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of Citra Putra shares are held by company insiders |
Citra Putra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citra Putra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citra Putra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Citra Putra Technical Analysis
Citra Putra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citra Putra Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citra Putra Predictive Forecast Models
Citra Putra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citra Putra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citra Putra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Citra Putra Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Citra Putra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Citra Putra Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Citra Putra Realty appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Citra Putra Realty has accumulated 312.98 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.09, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Citra Putra Realty has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Citra Putra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Citra Putra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Citra Putra Realty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Citra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Citra Putra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 19.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (74.8 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.79 B). | |
| Citra Putra Realty has accumulated about 1.49 B in cash with (8.99 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.58. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of Citra Putra shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Citra Stock
Citra Putra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citra with respect to the benefits of owning Citra Putra security.