Columbia Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.50
| CLBK Stock | USD 18.65 0.46 2.53% |
Columbia |
Columbia Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 16.50
The tendency of Columbia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.50 or more in 90 days |
| 18.65 | 90 days | 16.50 | about 11.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Financial to drop to $ 16.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.93 (This Columbia Financial probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Financial price to stay between $ 16.50 and its current price of $18.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Columbia Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Columbia Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Columbia Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Columbia Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Columbia Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Columbia Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by John Klimowich of tradable shares of Columbia Financial at 18.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Columbia Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Columbia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Columbia Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Columbia Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 423.2 M |
Columbia Financial Technical Analysis
Columbia Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Columbia Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Columbia Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by John Klimowich of tradable shares of Columbia Financial at 18.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Columbia Financial Backtesting, Columbia Financial Valuation, Columbia Financial Correlation, Columbia Financial Hype Analysis, Columbia Financial Volatility, Columbia Financial History as well as Columbia Financial Performance. For more information on how to buy Columbia Stock please use our How to buy in Columbia Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Columbia Financial. If investors know Columbia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Columbia Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 0.15 | Revenue Per Share 1.977 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets 0.0015 |
The market value of Columbia Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Columbia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Columbia Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Columbia Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Columbia Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Columbia Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.