Cebu Landmasters (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.68

CLI Stock   2.69  0.10  3.58%   
Cebu Landmasters' future price is the expected price of Cebu Landmasters instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cebu Landmasters performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cebu Landmasters Backtesting, Cebu Landmasters Valuation, Cebu Landmasters Correlation, Cebu Landmasters Hype Analysis, Cebu Landmasters Volatility, Cebu Landmasters History as well as Cebu Landmasters Performance.
  
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Cebu Landmasters Target Price Odds to finish below 2.68

The tendency of Cebu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.68  or more in 90 days
 2.69 90 days 2.68 
about 29.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cebu Landmasters to drop to  2.68  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.47 (This Cebu Landmasters probability density function shows the probability of Cebu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cebu Landmasters price to stay between  2.68  and its current price of 2.69 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cebu Landmasters has a beta of -0.5 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cebu Landmasters are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cebu Landmasters is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cebu Landmasters has an alpha of 0.1165, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cebu Landmasters Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cebu Landmasters

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cebu Landmasters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.162.694.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.752.283.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.152.684.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.672.762.85
Details

Cebu Landmasters Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cebu Landmasters is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cebu Landmasters' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cebu Landmasters, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cebu Landmasters within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Cebu Landmasters Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cebu Landmasters for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cebu Landmasters can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cebu Landmasters has accumulated about 321.93 M in cash with (920.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Cebu Landmasters Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cebu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cebu Landmasters' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cebu Landmasters' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 B
Dividends Paid476.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Cebu Landmasters Technical Analysis

Cebu Landmasters' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cebu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cebu Landmasters. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cebu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cebu Landmasters Predictive Forecast Models

Cebu Landmasters' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cebu Landmasters' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cebu Landmasters' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cebu Landmasters

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cebu Landmasters for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cebu Landmasters help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cebu Landmasters has accumulated about 321.93 M in cash with (920.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Cebu Stock

Cebu Landmasters financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cebu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cebu with respect to the benefits of owning Cebu Landmasters security.