Clene Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.24

CLNN Stock  USD 4.15  0.27  6.96%   
Clene's future price is the expected price of Clene instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clene Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Clene Backtesting, Clene Valuation, Clene Correlation, Clene Hype Analysis, Clene Volatility, Clene History as well as Clene Performance.
  
As of the 30th of November 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 45.20. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -0.66. Please specify Clene's target price for which you would like Clene odds to be computed.

Clene Target Price Odds to finish below 2.24

The tendency of Clene Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.24  or more in 90 days
 4.15 90 days 2.24 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clene to drop to $ 2.24  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Clene Inc probability density function shows the probability of Clene Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clene Inc price to stay between $ 2.24  and its current price of $4.15 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Clene Inc has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Clene are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Clene Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Clene Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Clene Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clene

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clene Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.204.059.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.244.8910.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.309.97
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.315.836.47
Details

Clene Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clene is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clene's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clene Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clene within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Clene Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clene for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clene Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clene Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Clene Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Clene Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 654 K. Net Loss for the year was (49.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 447 K.
Clene Inc currently holds about 16.23 M in cash with (30.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Clene Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Clene Given Buy Rating at HC Wainwright

Clene Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clene Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments35 M

Clene Technical Analysis

Clene's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clene Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clene Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clene Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clene Predictive Forecast Models

Clene's time-series forecasting models is one of many Clene's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clene's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clene Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clene for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clene Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clene Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Clene Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Clene Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 654 K. Net Loss for the year was (49.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 447 K.
Clene Inc currently holds about 16.23 M in cash with (30.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Clene Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Clene Given Buy Rating at HC Wainwright
When determining whether Clene Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Clene's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Clene's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Clene Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Clene Backtesting, Clene Valuation, Clene Correlation, Clene Hype Analysis, Clene Volatility, Clene History as well as Clene Performance.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clene. If investors know Clene will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clene listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.614
Earnings Share
(5.29)
Revenue Per Share
0.069
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.66)
Return On Assets
(0.42)
The market value of Clene Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clene that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clene's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clene's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clene's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clene's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clene's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clene is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clene's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.