Cellnex Telecom (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.36

CLNX Stock  EUR 32.54  1.00  3.17%   
Cellnex Telecom's future price is the expected price of Cellnex Telecom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cellnex Telecom SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cellnex Telecom Backtesting, Cellnex Telecom Valuation, Cellnex Telecom Correlation, Cellnex Telecom Hype Analysis, Cellnex Telecom Volatility, Cellnex Telecom History as well as Cellnex Telecom Performance.
  
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Cellnex Telecom Target Price Odds to finish over 33.36

The tendency of Cellnex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 33.36  or more in 90 days
 32.54 90 days 33.36 
about 83.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cellnex Telecom to move over € 33.36  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.67 (This Cellnex Telecom SA probability density function shows the probability of Cellnex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cellnex Telecom SA price to stay between its current price of € 32.54  and € 33.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cellnex Telecom has a beta of 0.1 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cellnex Telecom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cellnex Telecom SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cellnex Telecom SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cellnex Telecom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cellnex Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellnex Telecom SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.1632.5433.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6431.0235.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.5832.9634.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.9332.2233.52
Details

Cellnex Telecom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cellnex Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cellnex Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cellnex Telecom SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cellnex Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
1.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Cellnex Telecom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cellnex Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cellnex Telecom SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cellnex Telecom SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cellnex Telecom SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Cellnex Telecom SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (351.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.14 B.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cellnex Telecom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cellnex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cellnex Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cellnex Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding659.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 B

Cellnex Telecom Technical Analysis

Cellnex Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cellnex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cellnex Telecom SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cellnex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cellnex Telecom Predictive Forecast Models

Cellnex Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cellnex Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cellnex Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cellnex Telecom SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cellnex Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cellnex Telecom SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cellnex Telecom SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cellnex Telecom SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Cellnex Telecom SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (351.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.14 B.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Cellnex Stock

Cellnex Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cellnex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cellnex with respect to the benefits of owning Cellnex Telecom security.