Euronav Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.82

CMBT Stock   11.22  0.20  1.81%   
Euronav NV's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Euronav NV. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Euronav NV based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Euronav NV over a specific time period. For example, CMBT Option Call 20-12-2024 12 is a CALL option contract on Euronav NV's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-29 at 11:12:37 for $0.3 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.3. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 19.0. View All Euronav options

Closest to current price Euronav long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Euronav NV's future price is the expected price of Euronav NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Euronav NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Euronav NV Backtesting, Euronav NV Valuation, Euronav NV Correlation, Euronav NV Hype Analysis, Euronav NV Volatility, Euronav NV History as well as Euronav NV Performance.
For more information on how to buy Euronav Stock please use our How to Invest in Euronav NV guide.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.70 in 2024. Please specify Euronav NV's target price for which you would like Euronav NV odds to be computed.

Euronav NV Target Price Odds to finish below 10.82

The tendency of Euronav Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  10.82  or more in 90 days
 11.22 90 days 10.82 
about 1.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Euronav NV to drop to  10.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.16 (This Euronav NV probability density function shows the probability of Euronav Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Euronav NV price to stay between  10.82  and its current price of 11.22 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Euronav NV has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Euronav NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Euronav NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Euronav NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Euronav NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Euronav NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Euronav NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2911.1513.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1013.9215.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.6910.5512.40
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.6620.5122.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Euronav NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Euronav NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Euronav NV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Euronav NV.

Euronav NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Euronav NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Euronav NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Euronav NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Euronav NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.6
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Euronav NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Euronav NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Euronav NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Euronav NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Euronav NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Euronav NV was previously known as Euronav NV and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol EURN.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Crude Oil Carriers Industry Research Report 2024-2030 Growing Demand for ULCCs, Increasing Scrapping of Old Vessels, Expanding Oil Refining Capacities in Emerging Markets

Euronav NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Euronav Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Euronav NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Euronav NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments429.4 M

Euronav NV Technical Analysis

Euronav NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Euronav Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Euronav NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Euronav Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Euronav NV Predictive Forecast Models

Euronav NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Euronav NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Euronav NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Euronav NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Euronav NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Euronav NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Euronav NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Euronav NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Euronav NV was previously known as Euronav NV and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol EURN.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Crude Oil Carriers Industry Research Report 2024-2030 Growing Demand for ULCCs, Increasing Scrapping of Old Vessels, Expanding Oil Refining Capacities in Emerging Markets

Additional Tools for Euronav Stock Analysis

When running Euronav NV's price analysis, check to measure Euronav NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Euronav NV is operating at the current time. Most of Euronav NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Euronav NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Euronav NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Euronav NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.