Curtis Mathes Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.08E-4

CMCZ Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Curtis Mathes' future price is the expected price of Curtis Mathes instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Curtis Mathes Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Curtis Mathes Backtesting, Curtis Mathes Valuation, Curtis Mathes Correlation, Curtis Mathes Hype Analysis, Curtis Mathes Volatility, Curtis Mathes History as well as Curtis Mathes Performance.
  
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Curtis Mathes Target Price Odds to finish below 2.08E-4

The tendency of Curtis Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.0002  after 90 days
 0.0001 90 days 0.0002 
about 27.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Curtis Mathes to stay under $ 0.0002  after 90 days from now is about 27.96 (This Curtis Mathes Corp probability density function shows the probability of Curtis Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Curtis Mathes Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0001  and $ 0.0002  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Curtis Mathes Corp has a beta of -1.6 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Curtis Mathes Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Curtis Mathes is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Curtis Mathes Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Curtis Mathes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Curtis Mathes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curtis Mathes Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Curtis Mathes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00006611.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00009611.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000020.000111.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Curtis Mathes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Curtis Mathes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Curtis Mathes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Curtis Mathes Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Curtis Mathes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.72
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.6
σ
Overall volatility
0.0003
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Curtis Mathes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Curtis Mathes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Curtis Mathes Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Curtis Mathes Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Curtis Mathes Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Curtis Mathes Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Curtis Mathes Technical Analysis

Curtis Mathes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Curtis Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Curtis Mathes Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Curtis Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Curtis Mathes Predictive Forecast Models

Curtis Mathes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Curtis Mathes' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Curtis Mathes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Curtis Mathes Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Curtis Mathes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Curtis Mathes Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Curtis Mathes Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Curtis Mathes Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Curtis Mathes Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Additional Tools for Curtis Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Curtis Mathes' price analysis, check to measure Curtis Mathes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Curtis Mathes is operating at the current time. Most of Curtis Mathes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Curtis Mathes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Curtis Mathes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Curtis Mathes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.