Capital Management Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.56

CMEIX Fund  USD 11.91  0.04  0.33%   
Capital Management's future price is the expected price of Capital Management instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Management Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital Management Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital Management Correlation, Capital Management Hype Analysis, Capital Management Volatility, Capital Management History as well as Capital Management Performance.
  
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Capital Management Target Price Odds to finish over 12.56

The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.56  or more in 90 days
 11.91 90 days 12.56 
about 29.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Management to move over $ 12.56  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.69 (This Capital Management Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Management Mid price to stay between its current price of $ 11.91  and $ 12.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital Management has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital Management average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Management Mid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Management Mid Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Capital Management Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Management

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Management Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1811.9112.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3212.0512.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2912.0212.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7612.2012.64
Details

Capital Management Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Management is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Management's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Management Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Management within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Capital Management Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Management for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Management Mid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Management generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 10.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Capital Management Technical Analysis

Capital Management's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Management Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Management Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Management's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Management's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Management's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Management Mid

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Management for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Management Mid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Management generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 10.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund

Capital Management financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Management security.
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