Capital Metals (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.63
| CMET Stock | 1.60 0.05 3.03% |
Capital |
Capital Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 1.63
The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.63 after 90 days |
| 1.60 | 90 days | 1.63 | about 27.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Metals to stay under 1.63 after 90 days from now is about 27.32 (This Capital Metals PLC probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Metals PLC price to stay between its current price of 1.60 and 1.63 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Metals PLC has a beta of -0.41 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capital Metals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capital Metals PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capital Metals PLC has an alpha of 0.1512, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Metals PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Metals PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0038 |
Capital Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Metals PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital Metals PLC may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Capital Metals PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Capital Metals PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (931.58 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11 K. | |
| Capital Metals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capital Metals Plc Sees Major Shareholder Shift - TipRanks |
Capital Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 344.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Capital Metals Technical Analysis
Capital Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Metals PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital Metals PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Metals PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capital Metals PLC may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Capital Metals PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Capital Metals PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (931.58 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11 K. | |
| Capital Metals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capital Metals Plc Sees Major Shareholder Shift - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Capital Stock Analysis
When running Capital Metals' price analysis, check to measure Capital Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.