Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.98

CMNYX Fund  USD 19.80  0.01  0.05%   
Columbia Minnesota's future price is the expected price of Columbia Minnesota instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Minnesota Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Minnesota Correlation, Columbia Minnesota Hype Analysis, Columbia Minnesota Volatility, Columbia Minnesota History as well as Columbia Minnesota Performance.
  
Please specify Columbia Minnesota's target price for which you would like Columbia Minnesota odds to be computed.

Columbia Minnesota Target Price Odds to finish over 19.98

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 19.98  or more in 90 days
 19.80 90 days 19.98 
about 6.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Minnesota to move over $ 19.98  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.2 (This Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Minnesota Tax price to stay between its current price of $ 19.80  and $ 19.98  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Columbia Minnesota are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt has an alpha of 0.0163, implying that it can generate a 0.0163 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Columbia Minnesota Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Minnesota

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Minnesota Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Minnesota's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.5119.8020.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7119.0021.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.5319.8220.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.7919.8019.81
Details

Columbia Minnesota Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Minnesota is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Minnesota's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Minnesota within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Columbia Minnesota Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Minnesota for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Minnesota Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Columbia Minnesota Tax holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Columbia Minnesota Technical Analysis

Columbia Minnesota's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Minnesota Tax Exempt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Minnesota Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Minnesota's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Minnesota's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Minnesota's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Minnesota Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Minnesota for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Minnesota Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Columbia Minnesota Tax holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Minnesota financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Minnesota security.
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