Curtiss Motorcycles Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0218
| CMOT Stock | USD 0.02 0.02 42.50% |
Curtiss |
Curtiss Motorcycles Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0218
The tendency of Curtiss Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.02 in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 74.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Curtiss Motorcycles to stay above $ 0.02 in 90 days from now is about 74.12 (This Curtiss Motorcycles probability density function shows the probability of Curtiss Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Curtiss Motorcycles price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $0.023 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Curtiss Motorcycles has a beta of -20.12 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Curtiss Motorcycles are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Curtiss Motorcycles is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Curtiss Motorcycles has an alpha of 29.8526, implying that it can generate a 29.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Curtiss Motorcycles Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Curtiss Motorcycles
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curtiss Motorcycles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Curtiss Motorcycles Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Curtiss Motorcycles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Curtiss Motorcycles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Curtiss Motorcycles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Curtiss Motorcycles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 29.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -20.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Curtiss Motorcycles Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Curtiss Motorcycles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Curtiss Motorcycles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Curtiss Motorcycles is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles currently holds 73.33 K in liabilities. Curtiss Motorcycles has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Curtiss Motorcycles until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Curtiss Motorcycles' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Curtiss Motorcycles sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Curtiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Curtiss Motorcycles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 801.97 K. | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles currently holds about 116.08 K in cash with (881.84 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Curtiss Motorcycles Technical Analysis
Curtiss Motorcycles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Curtiss Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Curtiss Motorcycles. In general, you should focus on analyzing Curtiss Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Curtiss Motorcycles Predictive Forecast Models
Curtiss Motorcycles' time-series forecasting models is one of many Curtiss Motorcycles' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Curtiss Motorcycles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Curtiss Motorcycles
Checking the ongoing alerts about Curtiss Motorcycles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Curtiss Motorcycles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Curtiss Motorcycles is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles currently holds 73.33 K in liabilities. Curtiss Motorcycles has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Curtiss Motorcycles until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Curtiss Motorcycles' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Curtiss Motorcycles sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Curtiss to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Curtiss Motorcycles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 801.97 K. | |
| Curtiss Motorcycles currently holds about 116.08 K in cash with (881.84 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Curtiss Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Curtiss Motorcycles' price analysis, check to measure Curtiss Motorcycles' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Curtiss Motorcycles is operating at the current time. Most of Curtiss Motorcycles' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Curtiss Motorcycles' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Curtiss Motorcycles' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Curtiss Motorcycles to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.