Compa Sibiu (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.7
| CMP Stock | 0.54 0.02 3.85% |
Compa |
Compa Sibiu Target Price Odds to finish below 0.7
The tendency of Compa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.70 after 90 days |
| 0.54 | 90 days | 0.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compa Sibiu to stay under 0.70 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Compa Sibiu probability density function shows the probability of Compa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compa Sibiu price to stay between its current price of 0.54 and 0.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compa Sibiu has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Compa Sibiu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Compa Sibiu is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Compa Sibiu has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Compa Sibiu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Compa Sibiu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compa Sibiu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Compa Sibiu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compa Sibiu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compa Sibiu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compa Sibiu, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compa Sibiu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Compa Sibiu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compa Sibiu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compa Sibiu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Compa Sibiu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Compa Sibiu has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Compa Sibiu Technical Analysis
Compa Sibiu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compa Sibiu. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Compa Sibiu Predictive Forecast Models
Compa Sibiu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compa Sibiu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compa Sibiu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Compa Sibiu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Compa Sibiu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compa Sibiu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Compa Sibiu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Compa Sibiu has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Compa Stock
Compa Sibiu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compa with respect to the benefits of owning Compa Sibiu security.