CT Global (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 253.75

CMPG Stock   253.00  2.00  0.78%   
CT Global's future price is the expected price of CT Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CT Global Managed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CT Global Backtesting, CT Global Valuation, CT Global Correlation, CT Global Hype Analysis, CT Global Volatility, CT Global History as well as CT Global Performance.
  
Please specify CT Global's target price for which you would like CT Global odds to be computed.

CT Global Target Price Odds to finish below 253.75

The tendency of CMPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  253.75  after 90 days
 253.00 90 days 253.75 
about 57.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CT Global to stay under  253.75  after 90 days from now is about 57.55 (This CT Global Managed probability density function shows the probability of CMPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CT Global Managed price to stay between its current price of  253.00  and  253.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CT Global Managed has a beta of -0.0666 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CT Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CT Global Managed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CT Global Managed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CT Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CT Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CT Global Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
252.76253.00253.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
252.51252.75278.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
253.03253.26253.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
249.39252.79256.18
Details

CT Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CT Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CT Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CT Global Managed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CT Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.6

CT Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CT Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CT Global Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CT Global Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Podcast Investment trust portfolio management with Columbia Threadneedle - The Armchair Trader

CT Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CMPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CT Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CT Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.3 M
Dividends Paid3.9 M

CT Global Technical Analysis

CT Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CMPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CT Global Managed. In general, you should focus on analyzing CMPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CT Global Predictive Forecast Models

CT Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many CT Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CT Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CT Global Managed

Checking the ongoing alerts about CT Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CT Global Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CT Global Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Podcast Investment trust portfolio management with Columbia Threadneedle - The Armchair Trader

Additional Tools for CMPG Stock Analysis

When running CT Global's price analysis, check to measure CT Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CT Global is operating at the current time. Most of CT Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CT Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CT Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CT Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.