CompuGroup Medical SE Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 23.85

CMPVFDelisted Stock  USD 23.85  0.00  0.00%   
CompuGroup Medical's future price is the expected price of CompuGroup Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CompuGroup Medical SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
  
Please specify CompuGroup Medical's target price for which you would like CompuGroup Medical odds to be computed.

CompuGroup Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 23.85

The tendency of CompuGroup Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.85 90 days 23.85 
about 13.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CompuGroup Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.57 (This CompuGroup Medical SE probability density function shows the probability of CompuGroup Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CompuGroup Medical has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CompuGroup Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CompuGroup Medical SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CompuGroup Medical SE has an alpha of 0.0479, implying that it can generate a 0.0479 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CompuGroup Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CompuGroup Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CompuGroup Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CompuGroup Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8523.8523.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0620.0626.24
Details

CompuGroup Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CompuGroup Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CompuGroup Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CompuGroup Medical SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CompuGroup Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.0009

CompuGroup Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CompuGroup Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CompuGroup Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CompuGroup Medical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
CompuGroup Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
CompuGroup Medical SE has accumulated 587.08 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CompuGroup Medical has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CompuGroup Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CompuGroup Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CompuGroup Medical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CompuGroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CompuGroup Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 50.0% of CompuGroup Medical shares are held by company insiders

CompuGroup Medical Technical Analysis

CompuGroup Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CompuGroup Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CompuGroup Medical SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing CompuGroup Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CompuGroup Medical Predictive Forecast Models

CompuGroup Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many CompuGroup Medical's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CompuGroup Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CompuGroup Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about CompuGroup Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CompuGroup Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CompuGroup Medical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
CompuGroup Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
CompuGroup Medical SE has accumulated 587.08 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CompuGroup Medical has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CompuGroup Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CompuGroup Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CompuGroup Medical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CompuGroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CompuGroup Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 50.0% of CompuGroup Medical shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in CompuGroup Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in CompuGroup Medical check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CompuGroup Medical's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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