Catholic Responsible Investments Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.73
| CMPVX Fund | USD 10.93 0.04 0.36% |
Catholic |
Catholic Responsible Target Price Odds to finish below 9.73
The tendency of Catholic Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.73 or more in 90 days |
| 10.93 | 90 days | 9.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catholic Responsible to drop to $ 9.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Catholic Responsible Investments probability density function shows the probability of Catholic Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catholic Responsible price to stay between $ 9.73 and its current price of $10.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catholic Responsible has a beta of 0.0509 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Catholic Responsible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catholic Responsible Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catholic Responsible Investments has an alpha of 0.0593, implying that it can generate a 0.0593 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Catholic Responsible Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Catholic Responsible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catholic Responsible. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catholic Responsible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Catholic Responsible Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catholic Responsible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catholic Responsible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catholic Responsible Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catholic Responsible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Catholic Responsible Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Catholic Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Catholic Responsible's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catholic Responsible's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Catholic Responsible Technical Analysis
Catholic Responsible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catholic Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catholic Responsible Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catholic Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catholic Responsible Predictive Forecast Models
Catholic Responsible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catholic Responsible's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catholic Responsible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Catholic Responsible in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Catholic Responsible's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Catholic Responsible options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Catholic Mutual Fund
Catholic Responsible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catholic Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catholic with respect to the benefits of owning Catholic Responsible security.
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years |