Costamare Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 26.36

CMRE-PB Preferred Stock  USD 25.66  0.04  0.16%   
Costamare's future price is the expected price of Costamare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Costamare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Costamare Backtesting, Costamare Valuation, Costamare Correlation, Costamare Hype Analysis, Costamare Volatility, Costamare History as well as Costamare Performance.
For information on how to trade Costamare Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Costamare Preferred Stock guide.
  
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Costamare Target Price Odds to finish over 26.36

The tendency of Costamare Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.36  or more in 90 days
 25.66 90 days 26.36 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Costamare to move over $ 26.36  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Costamare probability density function shows the probability of Costamare Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Costamare price to stay between its current price of $ 25.66  and $ 26.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Costamare has a beta of 0.0147 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Costamare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Costamare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Costamare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Costamare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Costamare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Costamare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9925.6626.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5625.2325.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9125.5726.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5425.7425.94
Details

Costamare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Costamare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Costamare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Costamare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Costamare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0067
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Costamare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Costamare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Costamare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Costamare has accumulated 2.26 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Costamare has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Costamare until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Costamare's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Costamare sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Costamare to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Costamare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Costamare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Costamare Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Costamare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Costamare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding121.7 M

Costamare Technical Analysis

Costamare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Costamare Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Costamare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Costamare Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Costamare Predictive Forecast Models

Costamare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Costamare's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Costamare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Costamare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Costamare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Costamare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Costamare has accumulated 2.26 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Costamare has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Costamare until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Costamare's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Costamare sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Costamare to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Costamare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Costamare Preferred Stock

Costamare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Costamare Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Costamare with respect to the benefits of owning Costamare security.