Costamare Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.69
| CMRE Stock | USD 14.06 0.38 2.63% |
Costamare |
Costamare Target Price Odds to finish below 4.69
The tendency of Costamare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.69 or more in 90 days |
| 14.06 | 90 days | 4.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Costamare to drop to $ 4.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Costamare probability density function shows the probability of Costamare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Costamare price to stay between $ 4.69 and its current price of $14.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Costamare has a beta of 0.77 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Costamare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Costamare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Costamare has an alpha of 0.0193, implying that it can generate a 0.0193 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Costamare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Costamare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Costamare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Costamare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Costamare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Costamare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Costamare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Costamare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0003 |
Costamare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Costamare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Costamare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Costamare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 6th of November 2024 Costamare paid $ 0.115 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Costamare |
Costamare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Costamare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Costamare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Costamare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 790.4 M |
Costamare Technical Analysis
Costamare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Costamare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Costamare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Costamare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Costamare Predictive Forecast Models
Costamare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Costamare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Costamare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Costamare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Costamare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Costamare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Costamare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 6th of November 2024 Costamare paid $ 0.115 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Costamare |
Check out Costamare Backtesting, Costamare Valuation, Costamare Correlation, Costamare Hype Analysis, Costamare Volatility, Costamare History as well as Costamare Performance. For information on how to trade Costamare Stock refer to our How to Trade Costamare Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Costamare. If investors know Costamare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Costamare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.399 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 3 | Revenue Per Share 17.083 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.36 |
The market value of Costamare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Costamare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Costamare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Costamare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Costamare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Costamare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Costamare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Costamare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Costamare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.