Costamare Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.6

CMRE Stock  USD 14.29  0.23  1.64%   
Costamare's future price is the expected price of Costamare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Costamare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Costamare Backtesting, Costamare Valuation, Costamare Correlation, Costamare Hype Analysis, Costamare Volatility, Costamare History as well as Costamare Performance.
For information on how to trade Costamare Stock refer to our How to Trade Costamare Stock guide.
  
At present, Costamare's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 0.55, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 3.08. Please specify Costamare's target price for which you would like Costamare odds to be computed.

Costamare Target Price Odds to finish over 8.6

The tendency of Costamare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.60  in 90 days
 14.29 90 days 8.60 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Costamare to stay above $ 8.60  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Costamare probability density function shows the probability of Costamare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Costamare price to stay between $ 8.60  and its current price of $14.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Costamare has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Costamare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Costamare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Costamare has an alpha of 0.0237, implying that it can generate a 0.0237 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Costamare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Costamare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Costamare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2114.2916.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7611.8415.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1813.2615.35
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details

Costamare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Costamare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Costamare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Costamare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Costamare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.007

Costamare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Costamare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Costamare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Costamare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 6th of November 2024 Costamare paid $ 0.115 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 256,503 Shares in Costamare Inc. Bought by Foundry Partners LLC - MarketBeat

Costamare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Costamare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Costamare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Costamare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments790.4 M

Costamare Technical Analysis

Costamare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Costamare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Costamare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Costamare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Costamare Predictive Forecast Models

Costamare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Costamare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Costamare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Costamare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Costamare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Costamare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Costamare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 6th of November 2024 Costamare paid $ 0.115 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 256,503 Shares in Costamare Inc. Bought by Foundry Partners LLC - MarketBeat
When determining whether Costamare is a strong investment it is important to analyze Costamare's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Costamare's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Costamare Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Costamare Backtesting, Costamare Valuation, Costamare Correlation, Costamare Hype Analysis, Costamare Volatility, Costamare History as well as Costamare Performance.
For information on how to trade Costamare Stock refer to our How to Trade Costamare Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Costamare. If investors know Costamare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Costamare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.399
Dividend Share
0.46
Earnings Share
3.01
Revenue Per Share
17.083
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.36
The market value of Costamare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Costamare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Costamare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Costamare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Costamare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Costamare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Costamare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Costamare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Costamare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.