Community Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 16.42
| CMTV Stock | USD 16.50 0.10 0.61% |
Community |
Community Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 16.42
The tendency of Community OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.42 or more in 90 days |
| 16.50 | 90 days | 16.42 | about 57.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Community Bancorp to drop to $ 16.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.88 (This Community Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Community OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Community Bancorp price to stay between $ 16.42 and its current price of $16.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Community Bancorp has a beta of -0.56 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Community Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Community Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Community Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1216, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Community Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Community Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Community Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Community Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Community Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Community Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Community Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Community Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Community Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Community Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Community Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.78 M. | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Community Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Community OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Community Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 292.7 M |
Community Bancorp Technical Analysis
Community Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Community OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Community Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Community OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Community Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Community Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Community Bancorp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Community Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Community Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Community Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Community Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.78 M. | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Community OTC Stock Analysis
When running Community Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Community Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Community Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.