Cromwell Property (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.42
| CMW Stock | 0.38 0.01 2.56% |
Cromwell |
Cromwell Property Target Price Odds to finish below 0.42
The tendency of Cromwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.42 after 90 days |
| 0.38 | 90 days | 0.42 | about 49.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cromwell Property to stay under 0.42 after 90 days from now is about 49.76 (This Cromwell Property Group probability density function shows the probability of Cromwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cromwell Property price to stay between its current price of 0.38 and 0.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cromwell Property Group has a beta of -0.2 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cromwell Property are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cromwell Property Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cromwell Property Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cromwell Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cromwell Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cromwell Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cromwell Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cromwell Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cromwell Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cromwell Property Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cromwell Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Cromwell Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cromwell Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cromwell Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cromwell Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cromwell Property has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cromwell Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 188 M. Net Loss for the year was (289.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 312.1 M. | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cromwell Property Groups Major Shareholder Shift - TipRanks |
Cromwell Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cromwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cromwell Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cromwell Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 292.3 M |
Cromwell Property Technical Analysis
Cromwell Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cromwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cromwell Property Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cromwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cromwell Property Predictive Forecast Models
Cromwell Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cromwell Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cromwell Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cromwell Property
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cromwell Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cromwell Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cromwell Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cromwell Property has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cromwell Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 188 M. Net Loss for the year was (289.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 312.1 M. | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cromwell Property Groups Major Shareholder Shift - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Cromwell Stock Analysis
When running Cromwell Property's price analysis, check to measure Cromwell Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cromwell Property is operating at the current time. Most of Cromwell Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cromwell Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cromwell Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cromwell Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.