BII Railway (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.027
| CN6 Stock | EUR 0.03 0.0005 1.89% |
BII |
BII Railway Target Price Odds to finish over 0.027
The tendency of BII Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 51.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BII Railway to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.62 (This BII Railway Transportation probability density function shows the probability of BII Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BII Railway Transportation has a beta of -0.76 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BII Railway are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BII Railway Transportation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BII Railway Transportation has an alpha of 0.0773, implying that it can generate a 0.0773 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BII Railway Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BII Railway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BII Railway Transpor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BII Railway Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BII Railway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BII Railway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BII Railway Transportation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BII Railway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
BII Railway Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BII Railway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BII Railway Transpor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BII Railway Transpor has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BII Railway Transpor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BII Railway Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BII Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BII Railway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BII Railway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
BII Railway Technical Analysis
BII Railway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BII Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BII Railway Transportation. In general, you should focus on analyzing BII Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BII Railway Predictive Forecast Models
BII Railway's time-series forecasting models is one of many BII Railway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BII Railway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BII Railway Transpor
Checking the ongoing alerts about BII Railway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BII Railway Transpor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BII Railway Transpor has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BII Railway Transpor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BII Stock
BII Railway financial ratios help investors to determine whether BII Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BII with respect to the benefits of owning BII Railway security.