Conifer Holdings, 975 Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.9
| CNFRZ Stock | 20.53 1.26 5.78% |
Conifer |
Conifer Holdings, Target Price Odds to finish below 21.9
The tendency of Conifer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 21.90 after 90 days |
| 20.53 | 90 days | 21.90 | about 72.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Conifer Holdings, to stay under 21.90 after 90 days from now is about 72.69 (This Conifer Holdings, 975 probability density function shows the probability of Conifer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Conifer Holdings, 975 price to stay between its current price of 20.53 and 21.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Conifer Holdings, 975 has a beta of -0.78 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Conifer Holdings, are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Conifer Holdings, 975 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Conifer Holdings, 975 has an alpha of 0.83, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Conifer Holdings, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Conifer Holdings,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Conifer Holdings, 975. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Conifer Holdings, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Conifer Holdings, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Conifer Holdings,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Conifer Holdings, 975, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Conifer Holdings, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Conifer Holdings, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Conifer Holdings, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Conifer Holdings, 975 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Conifer Holdings, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Conifer Holdings, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Conifer Holdings, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 98.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.27 M. | |
| Conifer Holdings, generates negative cash flow from operations |
Conifer Holdings, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Conifer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Conifer Holdings,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Conifer Holdings,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32 M | |
| Shares Float | 3.3 M |
Conifer Holdings, Technical Analysis
Conifer Holdings,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Conifer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Conifer Holdings, 975. In general, you should focus on analyzing Conifer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Conifer Holdings, Predictive Forecast Models
Conifer Holdings,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Conifer Holdings,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Conifer Holdings,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Conifer Holdings, 975
Checking the ongoing alerts about Conifer Holdings, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Conifer Holdings, 975 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Conifer Holdings, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Conifer Holdings, has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Conifer Holdings, has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 98.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.27 M. | |
| Conifer Holdings, generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Conifer Stock Analysis
When running Conifer Holdings,'s price analysis, check to measure Conifer Holdings,'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Conifer Holdings, is operating at the current time. Most of Conifer Holdings,'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Conifer Holdings,'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Conifer Holdings,'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Conifer Holdings, to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.