CNH Industrial NV Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.38
| CNHIDelisted Stock | USD 11.45 0.16 1.38% |
CNH |
CNH Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 11.38
The tendency of CNH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.38 or more in 90 days |
| 11.45 | 90 days | 11.38 | about 23.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CNH Industrial to drop to $ 11.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.12 (This CNH Industrial NV probability density function shows the probability of CNH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CNH Industrial NV price to stay between $ 11.38 and its current price of $11.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CNH Industrial NV has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CNH Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CNH Industrial NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CNH Industrial NV has an alpha of 0.036, implying that it can generate a 0.036 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CNH Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CNH Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNH Industrial NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNH Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CNH Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CNH Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CNH Industrial NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CNH Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
CNH Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CNH Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CNH Industrial NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CNH Industrial NV is now traded under the symbol CNH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| CNH Industrial NV is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| CNH Industrial NV has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
CNH Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CNH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CNH Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNH Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
CNH Industrial Technical Analysis
CNH Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CNH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CNH Industrial NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing CNH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CNH Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
CNH Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CNH Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CNH Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CNH Industrial NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about CNH Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CNH Industrial NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CNH Industrial NV is now traded under the symbol CNH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| CNH Industrial NV is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| CNH Industrial NV has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Other Consideration for investing in CNH Stock
If you are still planning to invest in CNH Industrial NV check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CNH Industrial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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