Invesco Vertible Securities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.84
| CNSIX Fund | USD 25.18 0.14 0.56% |
Invesco |
Invesco Convertible Target Price Odds to finish over 26.84
The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 26.84 or more in 90 days |
| 25.18 | 90 days | 26.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Convertible to move over $ 26.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Vertible Securities probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Vertible Sec price to stay between its current price of $ 25.18 and $ 26.84 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Convertible has a beta of 0.51 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Invesco Convertible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Vertible Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Vertible Securities has an alpha of 0.0569, implying that it can generate a 0.0569 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invesco Convertible Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Convertible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Vertible Sec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Convertible Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Convertible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Convertible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Vertible Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Convertible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0028 |
Invesco Convertible Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Convertible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Vertible Sec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 5.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Invesco Convertible Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Convertible's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Convertible's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Invesco Convertible Technical Analysis
Invesco Convertible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Vertible Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Convertible Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Convertible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Convertible's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Convertible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Vertible Sec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Convertible for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Vertible Sec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 5.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund
Invesco Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Convertible security.
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