Caldwell Orkin Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 48.76
| COAGX Fund | USD 52.48 0.56 1.08% |
Caldwell |
Caldwell Orkin Target Price Odds to finish below 48.76
The tendency of Caldwell Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 48.76 or more in 90 days |
| 52.48 | 90 days | 48.76 | about 77.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caldwell Orkin to drop to $ 48.76 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.88 (This Caldwell Orkin Market probability density function shows the probability of Caldwell Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caldwell Orkin Market price to stay between $ 48.76 and its current price of $52.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Caldwell Orkin will likely underperform. Additionally Caldwell Orkin Market has an alpha of 0.1111, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Caldwell Orkin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caldwell Orkin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caldwell Orkin Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Caldwell Orkin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caldwell Orkin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caldwell Orkin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caldwell Orkin Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caldwell Orkin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Caldwell Orkin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caldwell Orkin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caldwell Orkin Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gator Capital Management Q3 2024 Investor Letter - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund generated-1.0 ten year return of -1.0% | |
| Caldwell Orkin Market holds about 26.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Caldwell Orkin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caldwell Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caldwell Orkin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caldwell Orkin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Caldwell Orkin Technical Analysis
Caldwell Orkin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caldwell Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caldwell Orkin Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caldwell Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caldwell Orkin Predictive Forecast Models
Caldwell Orkin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Caldwell Orkin's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caldwell Orkin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caldwell Orkin Market
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caldwell Orkin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caldwell Orkin Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gator Capital Management Q3 2024 Investor Letter - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund generated-1.0 ten year return of -1.0% | |
| Caldwell Orkin Market holds about 26.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Caldwell Mutual Fund
Caldwell Orkin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caldwell Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caldwell with respect to the benefits of owning Caldwell Orkin security.
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