Vita Coco Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.20
| COCO Stock | USD 36.35 0.28 0.76% |
Vita |
Vita Coco Target Price Odds to finish over 36.20
The tendency of Vita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 36.20 in 90 days |
| 36.35 | 90 days | 36.20 | roughly 2.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vita Coco to stay above $ 36.20 in 90 days from now is roughly 2.49 (This Vita Coco probability density function shows the probability of Vita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vita Coco price to stay between $ 36.20 and its current price of $36.35 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vita Coco has a beta of 0.55 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Vita Coco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vita Coco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vita Coco has an alpha of 0.5205, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vita Coco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vita Coco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vita Coco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vita Coco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vita Coco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vita Coco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vita Coco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vita Coco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vita Coco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Vita Coco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vita Coco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vita Coco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vita Coco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vita Coco is Treating Fans This Holiday Season with 12 Days of Treats-mas Giveaway |
Vita Coco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vita Coco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vita Coco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 132.5 M |
Vita Coco Technical Analysis
Vita Coco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vita Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vita Coco. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vita Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vita Coco Predictive Forecast Models
Vita Coco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vita Coco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vita Coco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vita Coco
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vita Coco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vita Coco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vita Coco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vita Coco is Treating Fans This Holiday Season with 12 Days of Treats-mas Giveaway |
Check out Vita Coco Backtesting, Vita Coco Valuation, Vita Coco Correlation, Vita Coco Hype Analysis, Vita Coco Volatility, Vita Coco History as well as Vita Coco Performance. To learn how to invest in Vita Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vita Coco guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vita Coco. If investors know Vita will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vita Coco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.231 | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share 8.724 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.1515 |
The market value of Vita Coco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vita that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vita Coco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vita Coco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vita Coco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vita Coco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vita Coco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vita Coco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vita Coco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.