Cabot Oil (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 525.30
| COG Stock | MXN 543.00 0.00 0.00% |
Cabot |
Cabot Oil Target Price Odds to finish over 525.30
The tendency of Cabot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 525.30 in 90 days |
| 543.00 | 90 days | 525.30 | about 12.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cabot Oil to stay above 525.30 in 90 days from now is about 12.75 (This Cabot Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Cabot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cabot Oil Gas price to stay between 525.30 and its current price of 543.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cabot Oil has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cabot Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cabot Oil Gas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cabot Oil Gas has an alpha of 0.2232, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cabot Oil Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cabot Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cabot Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cabot Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cabot Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cabot Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cabot Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cabot Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Cabot Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cabot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cabot Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cabot Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 813.5 M |
Cabot Oil Technical Analysis
Cabot Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cabot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cabot Oil Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cabot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cabot Oil Predictive Forecast Models
Cabot Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cabot Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cabot Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cabot Oil in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cabot Oil's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cabot Oil options trading.
Additional Tools for Cabot Stock Analysis
When running Cabot Oil's price analysis, check to measure Cabot Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cabot Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Cabot Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cabot Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cabot Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cabot Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.