Cognios Market Neutral Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.41
| COGIX Fund | USD 13.10 0.05 0.38% |
Cognios |
Cognios Market Target Price Odds to finish below 10.41
The tendency of Cognios Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.41 or more in 90 days |
| 13.10 | 90 days | 10.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cognios Market to drop to $ 10.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cognios Market Neutral probability density function shows the probability of Cognios Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cognios Market Neutral price to stay between $ 10.41 and its current price of $13.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cognios Market Neutral has a beta of -0.0021 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cognios Market are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cognios Market Neutral is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cognios Market Neutral has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cognios Market Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cognios Market
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cognios Market Neutral. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cognios Market Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cognios Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cognios Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cognios Market Neutral, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cognios Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0021 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.51 |
Cognios Market Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cognios Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cognios Market Neutral can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cognios Market generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 28.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Cognios Market Technical Analysis
Cognios Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cognios Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cognios Market Neutral. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cognios Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cognios Market Predictive Forecast Models
Cognios Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cognios Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cognios Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cognios Market Neutral
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cognios Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cognios Market Neutral help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cognios Market generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 28.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Cognios Mutual Fund
Cognios Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cognios Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cognios with respect to the benefits of owning Cognios Market security.
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