Cognios Large Cap Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.65
| COGVXDelisted Fund | USD 11.40 0.00 0.00% |
Cognios |
Cognios Large Target Price Odds to finish below 7.65
The tendency of Cognios Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.65 or more in 90 days |
| 11.40 | 90 days | 7.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cognios Large to drop to $ 7.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cognios Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Cognios Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cognios Large Cap price to stay between $ 7.65 and its current price of $11.4 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.28 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cognios Large will likely underperform. Additionally Cognios Large Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cognios Large Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cognios Large
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cognios Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cognios Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cognios Large Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cognios Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cognios Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cognios Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cognios Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Cognios Large Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cognios Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cognios Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cognios Large Cap is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Cognios Large Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cognios Large Cap has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cognios Large Cap has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund holds 134.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Cognios Large Technical Analysis
Cognios Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cognios Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cognios Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cognios Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cognios Large Predictive Forecast Models
Cognios Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cognios Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cognios Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cognios Large Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cognios Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cognios Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cognios Large Cap is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Cognios Large Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cognios Large Cap has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cognios Large Cap has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund holds 134.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in Cognios Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Cognios Large Cap check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Cognios Large's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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