COL Financial (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.48
| COL Stock | 1.60 0.04 2.44% |
COL |
COL Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 2.48
The tendency of COL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2.48 after 90 days |
| 1.60 | 90 days | 2.48 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COL Financial to stay under 2.48 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This COL Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of COL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COL Financial Group price to stay between its current price of 1.60 and 2.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COL Financial has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, COL Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COL Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COL Financial Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. COL Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for COL Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COL Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.COL Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COL Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COL Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COL Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COL Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
COL Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COL Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COL Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COL Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COL Financial Group may become a speculative penny stock |
COL Financial Technical Analysis
COL Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COL Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing COL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COL Financial Predictive Forecast Models
COL Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many COL Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COL Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COL Financial Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about COL Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COL Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COL Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COL Financial Group may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in COL Stock
COL Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether COL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COL with respect to the benefits of owning COL Financial security.