Columbia Banking System Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.81

COLB Stock  USD 31.64  0.97  3.16%   
Columbia Banking's future price is the expected price of Columbia Banking instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Banking System performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Banking Backtesting, Columbia Banking Valuation, Columbia Banking Correlation, Columbia Banking Hype Analysis, Columbia Banking Volatility, Columbia Banking History as well as Columbia Banking Performance.
  
At present, Columbia Banking's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 1.58, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 14.44. Please specify Columbia Banking's target price for which you would like Columbia Banking odds to be computed.

Columbia Banking Target Price Odds to finish below 31.81

The tendency of Columbia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 31.81  after 90 days
 31.64 90 days 31.81 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Banking to stay under $ 31.81  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Columbia Banking System probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Banking System price to stay between its current price of $ 31.64  and $ 31.81  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.39 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Columbia Banking will likely underperform. Additionally Columbia Banking System has an alpha of 0.1933, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Columbia Banking Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Banking

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Banking System. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.5631.9234.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.4029.7632.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.0030.3632.72
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.3024.5027.20
Details

Columbia Banking Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Banking System, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Columbia Banking Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Banking for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Banking System can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Lisa Dow of 9792 shares of Columbia Banking at 17.87 subject to Rule 16b-3

Columbia Banking Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Columbia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Columbia Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Columbia Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding195.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Columbia Banking Technical Analysis

Columbia Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Banking System. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Banking Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Banking's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Banking System

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Banking for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Banking System help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Lisa Dow of 9792 shares of Columbia Banking at 17.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Columbia Banking System offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Columbia Banking's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Columbia Banking System Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Columbia Banking System Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Columbia Banking. If investors know Columbia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Columbia Banking listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.077
Dividend Share
0.36
Earnings Share
2.32
Revenue Per Share
8.776
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Columbia Banking System is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Columbia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Columbia Banking's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Columbia Banking's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Columbia Banking's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Columbia Banking's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Banking's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia Banking is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Banking's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.