Colgate Palmolive (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1470.81
| COLG Stock | 1,459 12.33 0.85% |
Colgate |
Colgate Palmolive Target Price Odds to finish over 1470.81
The tendency of Colgate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1,471 or more in 90 days |
| 1,459 | 90 days | 1,471 | about 1.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colgate Palmolive to move over 1,471 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.36 (This Colgate Palmolive Pakistan probability density function shows the probability of Colgate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colgate Palmolive price to stay between its current price of 1,459 and 1,471 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Colgate Palmolive Pakistan has a beta of -0.32 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Colgate Palmolive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Colgate Palmolive Pakistan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Colgate Palmolive Pakistan has an alpha of 0.4778, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Colgate Palmolive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colgate Palmolive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colgate Palmolive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colgate Palmolive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colgate Palmolive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colgate Palmolive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colgate Palmolive Pakistan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colgate Palmolive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 97.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Colgate Palmolive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colgate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colgate Palmolive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colgate Palmolive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -3.3 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 433.2 M |
Colgate Palmolive Technical Analysis
Colgate Palmolive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colgate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colgate Palmolive Pakistan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colgate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colgate Palmolive Predictive Forecast Models
Colgate Palmolive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colgate Palmolive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colgate Palmolive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Colgate Palmolive in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Colgate Palmolive's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Colgate Palmolive options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Colgate Stock
Colgate Palmolive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Colgate Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Colgate with respect to the benefits of owning Colgate Palmolive security.