G Collado (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.73

COLLADO Stock  MXN 7.80  0.00  0.00%   
G Collado's future price is the expected price of G Collado instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of G Collado SAB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out G Collado Backtesting, G Collado Valuation, G Collado Correlation, G Collado Hype Analysis, G Collado Volatility, G Collado History as well as G Collado Performance.
  
Please specify G Collado's target price for which you would like G Collado odds to be computed.

G Collado Target Price Odds to finish below 7.73

The tendency of COLLADO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.73  or more in 90 days
 7.80 90 days 7.73 
about 71.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of G Collado to drop to  7.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.9 (This G Collado SAB probability density function shows the probability of COLLADO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of G Collado SAB price to stay between  7.73  and its current price of 7.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon G Collado SAB has a beta of -0.0601 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding G Collado are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, G Collado SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally G Collado SAB has an alpha of 0.0388, implying that it can generate a 0.0388 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   G Collado Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for G Collado

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G Collado SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.457.808.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.017.368.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.467.818.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.577.757.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as G Collado. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against G Collado's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, G Collado's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in G Collado SAB.

G Collado Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. G Collado is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the G Collado's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold G Collado SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of G Collado within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

G Collado Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of G Collado for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for G Collado SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

G Collado Technical Analysis

G Collado's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COLLADO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of G Collado SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing COLLADO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

G Collado Predictive Forecast Models

G Collado's time-series forecasting models is one of many G Collado's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary G Collado's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about G Collado SAB

Checking the ongoing alerts about G Collado for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for G Collado SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in COLLADO Stock

G Collado financial ratios help investors to determine whether COLLADO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COLLADO with respect to the benefits of owning G Collado security.