CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK (Nigeria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.8
| CONHALLPLC | 2.00 0.04 2.04% |
CONSOLIDATED |
CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK Target Price Odds to finish over 1.8
The tendency of CONSOLIDATED Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1.80 in 90 days |
| 2.00 | 90 days | 1.80 | about 7.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK to stay above 1.80 in 90 days from now is about 7.77 (This CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK INSURANCE probability density function shows the probability of CONSOLIDATED Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK price to stay between 1.80 and its current price of 2.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK has a beta of 0.83 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK INSURANCE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK INSURANCE has an alpha of 0.5695, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK.CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK INSURANCE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK Technical Analysis
CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CONSOLIDATED Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK INSURANCE. In general, you should focus on analyzing CONSOLIDATED Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK Predictive Forecast Models
CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's time-series forecasting models is one of many CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK
Checking the ongoing alerts about CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CONSOLIDATED HALLMARK appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |