Consti Yhtiot (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.05

CONSTI Stock  EUR 10.10  0.10  0.98%   
Consti Yhtiot's future price is the expected price of Consti Yhtiot instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Consti Yhtiot Oy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Consti Yhtiot Backtesting, Consti Yhtiot Valuation, Consti Yhtiot Correlation, Consti Yhtiot Hype Analysis, Consti Yhtiot Volatility, Consti Yhtiot History as well as Consti Yhtiot Performance.
  
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Consti Yhtiot Target Price Odds to finish over 10.05

The tendency of Consti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 10.05  in 90 days
 10.10 90 days 10.05 
about 88.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Consti Yhtiot to stay above € 10.05  in 90 days from now is about 88.92 (This Consti Yhtiot Oy probability density function shows the probability of Consti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Consti Yhtiot Oy price to stay between € 10.05  and its current price of €10.1 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Consti Yhtiot Oy has a beta of -0.19 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Consti Yhtiot are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Consti Yhtiot Oy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Consti Yhtiot Oy has an alpha of 0.0552, implying that it can generate a 0.0552 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Consti Yhtiot Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Consti Yhtiot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consti Yhtiot Oy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Consti Yhtiot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6610.1011.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.318.7510.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8410.2711.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0410.1310.23
Details

Consti Yhtiot Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Consti Yhtiot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Consti Yhtiot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Consti Yhtiot Oy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Consti Yhtiot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Consti Yhtiot Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Consti Yhtiot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Consti Yhtiot Oy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Consti Yhtiot Oy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Consti Yhtiot Oy has accumulated 14.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 106.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Consti Yhtiot Oy has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Consti Yhtiot until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Consti Yhtiot's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Consti Yhtiot Oy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Consti to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Consti Yhtiot's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Consti Yhtiot shares are held by company insiders

Consti Yhtiot Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Consti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Consti Yhtiot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consti Yhtiot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 M

Consti Yhtiot Technical Analysis

Consti Yhtiot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Consti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Consti Yhtiot Oy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Consti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Consti Yhtiot Predictive Forecast Models

Consti Yhtiot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Consti Yhtiot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Consti Yhtiot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Consti Yhtiot Oy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Consti Yhtiot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Consti Yhtiot Oy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Consti Yhtiot Oy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Consti Yhtiot Oy has accumulated 14.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 106.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Consti Yhtiot Oy has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Consti Yhtiot until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Consti Yhtiot's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Consti Yhtiot Oy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Consti to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Consti Yhtiot's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Consti Yhtiot shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Consti Stock

Consti Yhtiot financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consti with respect to the benefits of owning Consti Yhtiot security.