Campbell Soup Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.81

CPB Stock  USD 44.46  0.65  1.48%   
Campbell Soup's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Campbell Soup. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Campbell Soup based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Campbell Soup over a specific time period. For example, CPB Option Call 22-11-2024 44 is a CALL option contract on Campbell Soup's common stock with a strick price of 44.0 expiring on 2024-11-22. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-21 at 15:44:51 for $0.58 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 22nd of November is 0.0. View All Campbell options

Closest to current price Campbell long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Campbell Soup's future price is the expected price of Campbell Soup instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Campbell Soup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Campbell Soup Backtesting, Campbell Soup Valuation, Campbell Soup Correlation, Campbell Soup Hype Analysis, Campbell Soup Volatility, Campbell Soup History as well as Campbell Soup Performance.
For information on how to trade Campbell Stock refer to our How to Trade Campbell Stock guide.
  
At present, Campbell Soup's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 4.48, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 19.71. Please specify Campbell Soup's target price for which you would like Campbell Soup odds to be computed.

Campbell Soup Target Price Odds to finish over 44.81

The tendency of Campbell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 44.81  or more in 90 days
 44.46 90 days 44.81 
about 92.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Campbell Soup to move over $ 44.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.67 (This Campbell Soup probability density function shows the probability of Campbell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Campbell Soup price to stay between its current price of $ 44.46  and $ 44.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.84 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Campbell Soup has a beta of -0.0052 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Campbell Soup are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Campbell Soup is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Campbell Soup has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Campbell Soup Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Campbell Soup

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Campbell Soup. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.2544.4945.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.0149.5450.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.6043.8445.08
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.7844.8149.74
Details

Campbell Soup Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Campbell Soup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Campbell Soup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Campbell Soup, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Campbell Soup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0052
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Campbell Soup Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Campbell Soup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Campbell Soup can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Campbell Soup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Campbell Soup has 7.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. Campbell Soup has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Campbell to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Campbell Soup has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 55.0% of Campbell Soup shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of October 2024 Campbell Soup paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Campbells Co announces corporate name change

Campbell Soup Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Campbell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Campbell Soup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Campbell Soup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding300 M
Cash And Short Term Investments108 M

Campbell Soup Technical Analysis

Campbell Soup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Campbell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Campbell Soup. In general, you should focus on analyzing Campbell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Campbell Soup Predictive Forecast Models

Campbell Soup's time-series forecasting models is one of many Campbell Soup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Campbell Soup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Campbell Soup

Checking the ongoing alerts about Campbell Soup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Campbell Soup help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Campbell Soup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Campbell Soup has 7.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. Campbell Soup has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Campbell to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Campbell Soup has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 55.0% of Campbell Soup shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of October 2024 Campbell Soup paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Campbells Co announces corporate name change
When determining whether Campbell Soup offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Campbell Soup's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Campbell Soup Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Campbell Soup Stock:
Check out Campbell Soup Backtesting, Campbell Soup Valuation, Campbell Soup Correlation, Campbell Soup Hype Analysis, Campbell Soup Volatility, Campbell Soup History as well as Campbell Soup Performance.
For information on how to trade Campbell Stock refer to our How to Trade Campbell Stock guide.
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Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Campbell Soup. If investors know Campbell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Campbell Soup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Dividend Share
1.48
Earnings Share
1.89
Revenue Per Share
32.336
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.109
The market value of Campbell Soup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Campbell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Campbell Soup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Campbell Soup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Campbell Soup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Campbell Soup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Campbell Soup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Campbell Soup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Campbell Soup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.