Campbell Soup Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.84
| CPB Stock | USD 45.29 0.83 1.87% |
Campbell |
Campbell Soup Target Price Odds to finish below 47.84
The tendency of Campbell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 47.84 after 90 days |
| 45.29 | 90 days | 47.84 | about 45.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Campbell Soup to stay under $ 47.84 after 90 days from now is about 45.79 (This Campbell Soup probability density function shows the probability of Campbell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Campbell Soup price to stay between its current price of $ 45.29 and $ 47.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Campbell Soup has a beta of 0.0849 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Campbell Soup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Campbell Soup will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Campbell Soup has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Campbell Soup Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Campbell Soup
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Campbell Soup. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Campbell Soup Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Campbell Soup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Campbell Soup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Campbell Soup, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Campbell Soup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Campbell Soup Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Campbell Soup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Campbell Soup can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Campbell Soup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Campbell Soup has 7.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. Campbell Soup has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Campbell to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Campbell Soup has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 55.0% of Campbell Soup shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of October 2024 Campbell Soup paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Campbell Soup Company Announces Name Change to The Campbells Company |
Campbell Soup Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Campbell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Campbell Soup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Campbell Soup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 300 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108 M |
Campbell Soup Technical Analysis
Campbell Soup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Campbell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Campbell Soup. In general, you should focus on analyzing Campbell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Campbell Soup Predictive Forecast Models
Campbell Soup's time-series forecasting models is one of many Campbell Soup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Campbell Soup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Campbell Soup
Checking the ongoing alerts about Campbell Soup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Campbell Soup help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Campbell Soup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Campbell Soup has 7.54 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. Campbell Soup has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Campbell to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Campbell Soup has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 55.0% of Campbell Soup shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of October 2024 Campbell Soup paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Campbell Soup Company Announces Name Change to The Campbells Company |
Check out Campbell Soup Backtesting, Campbell Soup Valuation, Campbell Soup Correlation, Campbell Soup Hype Analysis, Campbell Soup Volatility, Campbell Soup History as well as Campbell Soup Performance. For information on how to trade Campbell Stock refer to our How to Trade Campbell Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Campbell Soup. If investors know Campbell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Campbell Soup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share 1.89 | Revenue Per Share 32.336 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.109 |
The market value of Campbell Soup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Campbell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Campbell Soup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Campbell Soup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Campbell Soup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Campbell Soup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Campbell Soup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Campbell Soup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Campbell Soup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.