CPI Computer (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.52

CPI Stock  EUR 0.50  0.02  3.85%   
CPI Computer's future price is the expected price of CPI Computer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CPI Computer Peripherals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CPI Computer Backtesting, CPI Computer Valuation, CPI Computer Correlation, CPI Computer Hype Analysis, CPI Computer Volatility, CPI Computer History as well as CPI Computer Performance.
  
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CPI Computer Target Price Odds to finish below 0.52

The tendency of CPI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 0.52  after 90 days
 0.50 90 days 0.52 
nearly 4.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CPI Computer to stay under € 0.52  after 90 days from now is nearly 4.97 (This CPI Computer Peripherals probability density function shows the probability of CPI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CPI Computer Peripherals price to stay between its current price of € 0.50  and € 0.52  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CPI Computer Peripherals has a beta of -0.19 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CPI Computer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CPI Computer Peripherals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CPI Computer Peripherals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CPI Computer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CPI Computer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CPI Computer Peripherals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.512.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.462.72
Details

CPI Computer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CPI Computer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CPI Computer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CPI Computer Peripherals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CPI Computer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

CPI Computer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CPI Computer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CPI Computer Peripherals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CPI Computer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CPI Computer has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CPI Computer has accumulated €2.12 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CPI Computer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CPI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CPI Computer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CPI Computer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float2.5 M

CPI Computer Technical Analysis

CPI Computer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CPI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CPI Computer Peripherals. In general, you should focus on analyzing CPI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CPI Computer Predictive Forecast Models

CPI Computer's time-series forecasting models is one of many CPI Computer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CPI Computer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CPI Computer Peripherals

Checking the ongoing alerts about CPI Computer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CPI Computer Peripherals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CPI Computer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CPI Computer has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CPI Computer has accumulated €2.12 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for CPI Stock Analysis

When running CPI Computer's price analysis, check to measure CPI Computer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CPI Computer is operating at the current time. Most of CPI Computer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CPI Computer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CPI Computer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CPI Computer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.