Chumporn Palm (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.54
| CPI Stock | THB 2.74 0.08 2.84% |
Chumporn |
Chumporn Palm Target Price Odds to finish below 2.54
The tendency of Chumporn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.54 or more in 90 days |
| 2.74 | 90 days | 2.54 | about 24.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chumporn Palm to drop to 2.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.46 (This Chumporn Palm Oil probability density function shows the probability of Chumporn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chumporn Palm Oil price to stay between 2.54 and its current price of 2.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chumporn Palm Oil has a beta of -0.56 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chumporn Palm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chumporn Palm Oil is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chumporn Palm Oil has an alpha of 0.3007, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chumporn Palm Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chumporn Palm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chumporn Palm Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chumporn Palm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chumporn Palm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chumporn Palm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chumporn Palm Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chumporn Palm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Chumporn Palm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chumporn Palm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chumporn Palm Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chumporn Palm Oil is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chumporn Palm Oil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chumporn Palm Oil has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chumporn Palm Oil has accumulated 266.32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 128.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chumporn Palm Oil has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chumporn Palm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chumporn Palm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chumporn Palm Oil sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chumporn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chumporn Palm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of Chumporn Palm shares are held by company insiders |
Chumporn Palm Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chumporn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chumporn Palm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chumporn Palm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 632.8 M |
Chumporn Palm Technical Analysis
Chumporn Palm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chumporn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chumporn Palm Oil. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chumporn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chumporn Palm Predictive Forecast Models
Chumporn Palm's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chumporn Palm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chumporn Palm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chumporn Palm Oil
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chumporn Palm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chumporn Palm Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chumporn Palm Oil is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chumporn Palm Oil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chumporn Palm Oil has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chumporn Palm Oil has accumulated 266.32 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 128.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chumporn Palm Oil has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chumporn Palm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chumporn Palm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chumporn Palm Oil sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chumporn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chumporn Palm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 45.0% of Chumporn Palm shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Chumporn Stock
Chumporn Palm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chumporn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chumporn with respect to the benefits of owning Chumporn Palm security.