Capcom (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.55

CPK Stock  EUR 21.95  0.04  0.18%   
Capcom's future price is the expected price of Capcom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capcom Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capcom Backtesting, Capcom Valuation, Capcom Correlation, Capcom Hype Analysis, Capcom Volatility, Capcom History as well as Capcom Performance.
  
Please specify Capcom's target price for which you would like Capcom odds to be computed.

Capcom Target Price Odds to finish below 17.55

The tendency of Capcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 17.55  or more in 90 days
 21.95 90 days 17.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capcom to drop to € 17.55  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capcom Co probability density function shows the probability of Capcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capcom price to stay between € 17.55  and its current price of €21.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capcom has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capcom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capcom Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capcom Co has an alpha of 0.0223, implying that it can generate a 0.0223 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capcom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capcom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capcom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1021.9123.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2921.1022.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.5121.3223.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9420.4322.93
Details

Capcom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capcom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capcom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capcom Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capcom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.0078

Capcom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capcom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capcom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Capcom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capcom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capcom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capcom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding213.5 M

Capcom Technical Analysis

Capcom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capcom Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capcom Predictive Forecast Models

Capcom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capcom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capcom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capcom

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capcom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capcom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Capcom Stock

Capcom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capcom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capcom with respect to the benefits of owning Capcom security.