Central Pattana (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.85
| CPN-R Stock | THB 60.00 0.25 0.41% |
Central |
Central Pattana Target Price Odds to finish below 38.85
The tendency of Central Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 38.85 or more in 90 days |
| 60.00 | 90 days | 38.85 | about 1.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Pattana to drop to 38.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.63 (This Central Pattana Public probability density function shows the probability of Central Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Pattana Public price to stay between 38.85 and its current price of 60.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Central Pattana Public has a beta of -0.35 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Central Pattana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Central Pattana Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Central Pattana Public has an alpha of 0.0669, implying that it can generate a 0.0669 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Central Pattana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Central Pattana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Pattana Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Pattana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Pattana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Pattana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Pattana Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Pattana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Central Pattana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Pattana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Pattana Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Central Pattana is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Central Pattana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Central Pattana Public has accumulated 50.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Central Pattana Public has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Central Pattana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Central Pattana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Central Pattana Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Central to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Central Pattana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Central Pattana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Central Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Central Pattana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Pattana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 B |
Central Pattana Technical Analysis
Central Pattana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Pattana Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Central Pattana Predictive Forecast Models
Central Pattana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Pattana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Pattana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Central Pattana Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Pattana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Pattana Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Central Pattana is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Central Pattana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Central Pattana Public has accumulated 50.68 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Central Pattana Public has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Central Pattana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Central Pattana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Central Pattana Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Central to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Central Pattana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Central Stock
Central Pattana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Central Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Central with respect to the benefits of owning Central Pattana security.