CPN Retail (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.62
| CPNREIT Stock | THB 12.30 0.30 2.50% |
CPN |
CPN Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 0.62
The tendency of CPN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.62 or more in 90 days |
| 12.30 | 90 days | 0.62 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CPN Retail to drop to 0.62 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CPN Retail Growth probability density function shows the probability of CPN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CPN Retail Growth price to stay between 0.62 and its current price of 12.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CPN Retail has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CPN Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CPN Retail Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CPN Retail Growth has an alpha of 0.0706, implying that it can generate a 0.0706 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CPN Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CPN Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CPN Retail Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CPN Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CPN Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CPN Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CPN Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CPN Retail Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CPN Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0042 |
CPN Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CPN Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CPN Retail Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CPN Retail Growth is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CPN Retail Growth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CPN Retail Growth has accumulated about 423.46 M in cash with (3.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CPN Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CPN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CPN Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CPN Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B |
CPN Retail Technical Analysis
CPN Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CPN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CPN Retail Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing CPN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CPN Retail Predictive Forecast Models
CPN Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many CPN Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CPN Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CPN Retail Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about CPN Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CPN Retail Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CPN Retail Growth is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CPN Retail Growth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CPN Retail Growth has accumulated about 423.46 M in cash with (3.82 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for CPN Stock Analysis
When running CPN Retail's price analysis, check to measure CPN Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CPN Retail is operating at the current time. Most of CPN Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CPN Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CPN Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CPN Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.