Charter Hall (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.58
| CQR Stock | 3.43 0.03 0.87% |
Charter |
Charter Hall Target Price Odds to finish below 3.58
The tendency of Charter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.58 after 90 days |
| 3.43 | 90 days | 3.58 | about 75.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Charter Hall to stay under 3.58 after 90 days from now is about 75.49 (This Charter Hall Retail probability density function shows the probability of Charter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Charter Hall Retail price to stay between its current price of 3.43 and 3.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Charter Hall has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Charter Hall average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Charter Hall Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Charter Hall Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Charter Hall Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Charter Hall
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Charter Hall Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Charter Hall Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Charter Hall is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Charter Hall's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Charter Hall Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Charter Hall within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Charter Hall Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Charter Hall for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Charter Hall Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Charter Hall Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Charter Hall Retail has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Charter Hall Extends Takeover Offer for HPI - MSN |
Charter Hall Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Charter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Charter Hall's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Charter Hall's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 581.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 145.6 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.25 | |
| Shares Float | 502.3 M |
Charter Hall Technical Analysis
Charter Hall's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Charter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Charter Hall Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Charter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Charter Hall Predictive Forecast Models
Charter Hall's time-series forecasting models is one of many Charter Hall's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Charter Hall's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Charter Hall Retail
Checking the ongoing alerts about Charter Hall for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Charter Hall Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Charter Hall Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Charter Hall Retail has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Charter Hall Extends Takeover Offer for HPI - MSN |
Additional Tools for Charter Stock Analysis
When running Charter Hall's price analysis, check to measure Charter Hall's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Charter Hall is operating at the current time. Most of Charter Hall's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Charter Hall's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Charter Hall's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Charter Hall to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.