Lyxor Commodities (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 24.50
| CRB Etf | EUR 22.96 0.44 1.88% |
Lyxor |
Lyxor Commodities Target Price Odds to finish over 24.50
The tendency of Lyxor Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 24.50 or more in 90 days |
| 22.96 | 90 days | 24.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyxor Commodities to move over € 24.50 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lyxor Commodities RefinitivCoreCommodity probability density function shows the probability of Lyxor Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyxor Commodities price to stay between its current price of € 22.96 and € 24.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyxor Commodities has a beta of 0.099 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Lyxor Commodities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lyxor Commodities RefinitivCoreCommodity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lyxor Commodities RefinitivCoreCommodity has an alpha of 0.0718, implying that it can generate a 0.0718 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lyxor Commodities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lyxor Commodities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyxor Commodities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lyxor Commodities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyxor Commodities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyxor Commodities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyxor Commodities RefinitivCoreCommodity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyxor Commodities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Lyxor Commodities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyxor Commodities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyxor Commodities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| This fund generated-1.0 ten year return of -1.0% | |
| Lyxor Commodities holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Lyxor Commodities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lyxor Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lyxor Commodities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lyxor Commodities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Lyxor Commodities Technical Analysis
Lyxor Commodities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyxor Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyxor Commodities RefinitivCoreCommodity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyxor Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lyxor Commodities Predictive Forecast Models
Lyxor Commodities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyxor Commodities' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyxor Commodities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lyxor Commodities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyxor Commodities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyxor Commodities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| This fund generated-1.0 ten year return of -1.0% | |
| Lyxor Commodities holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Lyxor Etf
Lyxor Commodities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyxor Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyxor with respect to the benefits of owning Lyxor Commodities security.